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Study challenges climate consensus

Study challenges climate consensus

The frequency of hurricanes and tropical storms over the Atlantic may fall this century because of global warming, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Publishing their findings in the Nature Geoscience, a team from the Noaa's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory used a climate model that factored on the increase in Atlantic storms in recent years and future warming forecasts.

"This study does not support the notion that increasing greenhouse gases are causing a large increase in Atlantic hurricane or tropical storm frequency," said research meteorologist Thomas Knutson.

"Rather for future climate conditions we simulate a reduction.''

The study also found that the storms will increase in intensity by about one to two per cent.

Previously, scientists believed global warming would increase hurricane activity because of warmer sea surface temperatures.

The new research claims warmer temperatures will cut the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic.

It predicts that by the end of the century the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic will fall by 18 per cent.

In 2005, 27 designated Atlantic storms formed, beating 1933's record of 21 and the 15 hurricanes in the same year topped the 12 from 1969.


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